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CRUDE OIL MOVES TOWARDS 60$ BY JULY


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After weeks of interruptions by wildfires in Alberta workers returned to the fields and turned on the taps again. 

Canada’s Suncor Energy on Sunday said it has begun a “staged restart” of its operations--oil production in Nigeria remains precarious.

Earlier this month Nigerian oil Minister Emmanuel Ibe Kachikwu reportedly stated that the country’s oil production had fallen by almost 40% to 1.4m barrels per day
due to militant attacks on facilities in the Delta region.

US Energy Information Authority stating that oil production from seven major US Shale facilities is expected to drop by 113K b/d to 4.96m b/d in June and May.
           
There are also concerns that electricity blackouts and shortened working weeks will continue to hamper the production of oil in Venezuela.      

 EIA this month released its Outlook suggesting that there is potential for an upward revision to its 2016 demand projections given higher than expected growth of 1.4m b/d in Q1.

India alone accounted for nearly 30% of the Q1 global increase in demand for oil in a trend which could continue into Q2 and beyond.       

The Indian economy grew 7.6% in the year to March 31 2016. Although the Finance Ministry has forecast a growth rate between 7% and 7.75% this year, the WSJ reported a projection
of about 8% from a government official.”

Traders prepare for the June 2nd producers meeting.

 The UAE’s economy minister joined forecasters looking for $60 crude this year with demand and production moving more in line. “It’s possible for oil prices to reach $60 or more during this summer" as demand increases in the US.

Crude will end the year higher than $60 a barrel, Mario Maratheftis, global chief economist at Standard Chartered.

SEB Bank forecast last week that Brent would touch $60 at times in 2016.

The OPEC meets in Vienna on Thursday and most analysts did not expect any changes in the group's production.
        


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