On Wednesday Iran’s oil minister said
the idea that a freeze would improve prices is a “joke.”
Iran has promised to continue increasing oil production
in an attempt to regain the market share it lost during several years of US
sanctions. Al-Sada says Iran
said it would support “any measures” to stabilize the market, but only if
“special consideration” is given to the country. Russia said the oil
output freeze it proposed with Saudi Arabia would need
to
last a minimum of 12 months to support prices.
“We need at least one year” to
cut the global glut, Energy Minister Alexander Novak told reporters on a plane
flying from Moscow to Minsk in Belarus on Thursday. Major oil-producing countries
may agree on a freeze in mid-March and could evaluate “if the mechanism
works” in June, he said. Russia, Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Qatar, seeking to
curb an oversupply that’s seen prices drop to 12-year lows, reached a
preliminary agreement last week to freeze output at January levels if other
states join them. The needs of Iran, whose oil minister said the proposal was
“ridiculous,” should be assessed separately, Novak said.
Investors
will direct their attention to a Group of 20 meeting in Shanghai on 26,27 feb,2016 where
China is expected to address global anxiety about its economy and financial
markets.
GOLD:
A
news report out Thursday said traders and investors worldwide have
significantly stepped up
their purchases of gold-backed exchange traded funds (ETFs) and other
gold-based derivatives. Gold futures prices have rallied around 17% so far in
2016. The report highlighted that in just a short period of time the general public has really
changed its tune about investing in gold—from bearish to bullish. The “smart money” in the
marketplace can read this as hinting the gold market prices may have run too
far, too fast, and need some time to consolidate now.
Gold is clearly in demand in the
current market,”
Commerzbank AG wrote in a note to investors. “As long as uncertainty persists
among market participants and the oil prices and stock markets show no clear
upward trend, gold is likely to remain in considerable demand.” Investors
are now buying the metal on dips, rather than selling on rallies as they had
done in previous years, Georgette Boele, at ABN Amro Bank, said by e-mail. She
earlier this month switched her gold outlook to bullish from bearish because of
a more pessimistic view on the global economy.
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