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LIVE MCX COMMODITY NEWS UPDATES - 07 SEP 2016

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OIL:

Now that both countries are looking to privatize their oil interests that they also have a common goal. The cartel is scheduled to officially meet in Vienna in November. Russia will likely send a delegation to November’s OPEC meeting, Reuters said citing a source with knowledge of the matter.

While Russian-Saudi cooperation is yet to yield firm steps toward steadying the market, a joint press conference between the two oil giants is rare. It shows a growing trust and understanding that collaboration is vital to oil’s recovery, the ministers said.

In a joint statement, the two countries confirmed they’ll hold further talks during the International Energy Forum in Algiers this month.

Several OPEC countries voiced their support for the Russian-Saudi pledge to cooperate. The oil ministers of the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Qatar welcomed the joint statement, while Algerian Energy Minister Bouterfa said it shows producers must reach an accord on output.


Putin has said oil producers now recognize that Iran, which has mostly restored the output halted during three years of trade restrictions, deserves to complete its return to world markets.


Iran’s rapid Recovery

Iran Has Restored output to within 80,000 barrels a day of its 2011-average level 

Iran showed Monday that it’s ready to pump more crude, with state-run National Iranian Oil Co. saying the country can raise production to 4 million barrels a day in two to three months from the current daily level of about 3.8 million. Iran still isn't likely to accept a cap while neighbor Iraq and arch-rival Saudi Arabia continue to boost supply. But its grounds for opposition are diminished. It's determined to get to 4 million barrels a day by the end of September.




Nigeria’s lost output

855,000 barrels a day of production is subject to force -40% of january’s output

China’s oil imports have averaged an unprecedented 7.5 million bbl/day so far this year.


COPPER:


KGHM Polska Miedz SA expects copper prices are expected to rise in 2017, according to wenhua.com.

More imported copper is now flowing into China’s domestic market after inflows have been almost stagnant for nearly three months now that import losses have narrowed significantly.


ALUMINIUM:


China Aluminum International Trading Co. cut aluminum prices in south China while announcing hike in southwest China and keeping prices unchanged in east China.

Chalco inked a deal with the government of Guizhou Province in late August over large bauxite-alumina integrated project, local media reported.

China and the US have reached a consensus at the G20 Summit to join hands in combating global aluminum overcapacity.


ZINC:


Zinc alloy plants around Hangzhou, Zhejiang Province will return to production next week after the G20 Summit.


NICKEL:


Jiangsu Delong Nickel plans to build a new nickel iron alloy project to enhance its total production capacity.

Guangxi Huahui New Material has started construction of nickel alloy smelting project, with annual capacity of 300,000 tonnes.

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FOMC Meeting

The meeting will take place on Tuesday-Wednesday, 26-27 of July.

The question for a rate hike remains whether the Fed will have a single hike until the end of the year or a possible two rate hike before the end of 2016.

BOJ Interest Rate Decision

The BOJ meeting on Friday might be a clarification for Shinzo Abe monetary policy plans.  Abe won elections on July 10th and as promised before, he will continue his Abenomics stimulus program.

No change in interest rate is expected as current rate in Japan is in negative territory.

There are speculations that the fiscal BOJ stimulus program will be increased  from 130$ billion to 390$ billion.

Europe Stress Testing

The stress test is designed to provide supervisors, banks and other market participants with a common analytical framework to consistently compare and assess the resilience of EU banks to economic shocks. 

Europe stress banking test results will be published on Friday. The data could spread light on Italy and European commission debt solution.

The Italian debt is currently 360 billion Euros and the data release on Friday might bring to settlement of both sides.

On Thursday, ECB president Mario Draghi  announced that ECB keeps stimulus program unchanged. However, Draghi hinted the possibility of arrangement to Italian banks in order to improve their ability to lend funds.

COPPER

 Refined Copper production from scrap increased 5.5% year on year to 1.307 million tons in the opening four months of 2016, as per latest figures from the International Copper Study Group (ICSG).

ALUMINIUM

China Aluminum International Trading Co. (Chalco Trading) cut aluminum prices in major markets again today after a brief hike, it said on its WeChat.

ZINC

The latest statistics published by the International Lead and Zinc Study Group (ILZSG) indicates that global refined zinc market was in deficit of 64,000 tons during the initial five-month period of the current year.

 SUPPLY SIDE:    The zinc mine output declined considerably in major producing countries including Australia, India, Ireland, Peru and the United States. Overall, the zinc mine output declined significantly by 7.7% during the initial five-month period in 2016 

DEMAND SIDE:  The global demand for refined zinc metal has increased marginally by 0.6% to 5.597 million tons during January to May this year.

LEAD

The ILZSG preliminary data indicates that global refined lead market was in surplus of 53,000 tons during the initial five-month period in 2016.

SUPPLY SIDE:    The lead mine production reported decline in countries such as Australia and the United States. The overall global lead mine production dropped by nearly 5% during Jan-May ’16

 DEMAND SIDE:  The global demand for refined lead metal witnessed marginal dip of 3.3% to 4.222 million tons during January to May this year. The European apparent usage increased sharply by 9.8%. Chinese apparent usage dropped by 12.4%. The usage in the United States and the Republic of Korea fell by 1.2% and 7.5% respectively.